可靠性约束下的海底油气集输管网系统优化   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

刘震  潘斌 《海洋工程》2003,21(2):26-31

在管网系统满足一定可靠度的基础上，以费用最小为优化目标，对系统进行了优化，求出了满足一定可靠度指标的费用最小的管网布置方案。对树状网络可靠性进行了评估，提出了一个0-l规划模型，并运用图论和网络理论将管网系统的优化问题转变为求可靠度至少为α的网络固的最小生成树问题。  相似文献   

Prediction of Load Carrying Capacity of Corroded Reinforced Concrete Beam     

范颖芳  周晶冯新 《中国海洋工程》2004,18(1):107-118

A novel method for prediction of the load carrying capacity of a corroded reinforced concrete beam (CRCB) is presented in the paper. Nine reinforced concrete beams, which had been working in an aggressive environment for more than 10 years, were tested in the laboratory. Comprehensive tests, including flexural test, strength test for corroded concrete and rusty rebar, and pullout test for bond strength between concrete and rebar, were condueted. The flexural test results of CRCBs reveal that the distribution of surface cracks on the beams shows a fractal behavior. The relationship between the fractal dimensions and mechanical properties of CRCBs is then studied. A prediction model based on artificial neural network (ANN) is established by the use of the fractal dimension as the corrosion index, together with the basic intbrmation of the beam. The validity of the prediction model is demonstrated through the experimental data, and satisfactory resuits are achieved.  相似文献   

沉降监测多项式回归分析与神经网络预测     

田丰  文鸿雁  张静 《海洋测绘》2007,27(4):23-27

使用多项式和切比雪夫(Tchebyshev)多项式分别对沉降监测数据进行回归分析以预测未来沉降值,其中切比雪夫多项式的外推效果较好;应用前向BP神经网络对两种不同的单因子输入模式进行非线性函数逼近,并进行了不同采样步长的比较,实例表明将时间点作为网络的输入对沉降进行预测效果较好。  相似文献   

Physical and anthropogenic effects on observed long-term nutrient changes in the Irish Sea     

G. L. Evans  P. J. le B. Williams  E. G. Mitchelson-Jacob 《Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science》2003,57(5-6):1159-1168

The trend in Irish Sea nutrient concentrations over the last four decades has been considered to reflect changes in anthropogenic loading. Comparison of a long-term database for the Menai Strait, North Wales, with an established historic data set for the Cypris station, Isle of Man, indicates that climate also has a significant influence on observations of nutrient concentrations. Data are presented detailing long-term shifts in nitrate, phosphate and silicate measurements since the 1960s at these two fixed sampling sites in the Irish Sea. Broad systematic changes observed in all three nutrients over the decades show a rise from the 1960s through to the 1980s, followed generally by an overall decline in the 1990s. Decadal-scale salinity changes occur in the opposite sense to nutrient changes. Anthropogenic inputs from freshwater cannot fully account for observed nutrient trends, neither is there evidence for shifts in nutrient concentrations in oceanic waters over the past four decades. Climatically forced movement in the geographical position of the freshwater/seawater mixing zone over a decadal time scale could, however, give rise to the observed shifts in nutrient concentration and salinity. This cannot alter nutrient concentration and salinity per se, but causes the measurements taken at fixed sampling sites to fluctuate inversely over this time scale. It is concluded that there is complex interplay between anthropogenic loading and climate affecting the distribution of nutrients in the Irish Sea.  相似文献   

基于模糊神经网络(FNN)的赤潮预警预测研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

张容  阎红  杜丽萍 《海洋通报(英文版)》2006,8(1):83-91

为研究各种理化因子与赤潮藻类浓度间的非线性对应规律和有效预测赤潮藻类浓度,构建了基于BP 算法的一个四层模糊神经网络模型。将模糊神经网络(FNN)技术引入赤潮预测研究,并与普通 BP 网络、RBF 网络的结果作比较,结果表明,该模型能够较好地反演出各种理化因子与夜光藻密度的非线性对应变化规律,有更好的预测功能。  相似文献   

岬间海湾岸线平衡形态神经网络模型   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

李志龙  陈子燊 《海洋通报》2007,26(3):19-25

讨论了目前海湾岸线平衡形态经验模型存在的不足之处。从沿岸输沙公式入手,阐述了平衡岸线的机理模式,重新定义了平衡海湾的“下岬角”,给出了模型参数与主波向的具体计算方法,并以华南典型海湾为学习样本,建立了岸线平衡形态的神经网络模型。通过模拟海湾与实际稳定海湾——乌场湾间的对比分析,表明所建神经网络模型是较抛物模型更为理想的平衡岸线模型。  相似文献   

Comparing the Benguela and Humboldt marine upwelling ecosystems with indicators derived from inter-calibrated models   总被引：10，自引：0，他引：10  

Moloney  Coleen L.; Jarre  Astrid; Arancibia  Hugo; Bozec  Yves-Marie; Neira  Sergio; Roux  Jean-Paul; Shannon  Lynne J. 《ICES Journal of Marine Science》2005,62(3):493-502

  相似文献   

Storms and shoreline retreat in the southern Gulf of St. Lawrence   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Donald L. Forbes  George S. Parkes  Gavin K. Manson  Lorne A. Ketch 《Marine Geology》2004,210(1-4):169-204

Storms play a major role in shoreline recession on transgressive coasts. In the southern Gulf of St. Lawrence (GSL), southeastern Canada, long-term relative sea-level rise off the North Shore of Prince Edward Island has averaged 0.3 m/century over the past 6000 years (>0.2 m/century over 2000 years). This has driven long-term coastal retreat at mean rates >0.5 m/a but the variance and details of coastal profile response remain poorly understood. Despite extensive sandy shores, sediment supply is limited and sand is transferred landward into multidecadal to century-scale storage in coastal dunes, barrier washover deposits, and flood-tidal delta sinks. Charlottetown tide-gauge records show mean relative sea-level rise of 3.2 mm/a (0.32 m/century) since 1911. A further rise of 0.7±0.4 m is projected over the next 100 years. When differenced from tidal predictions, the water-level data provide a 90-year record of storm-surge occurrence. Combined with wind, wave hindcast, and sea-ice data, this provides a catalogue of potentially significant coastal storms. We also document coastal impacts from three recent storms of great severity in January and October 2000 and November 2001. Digital photogrammetry (1935–1990) and shore-zone surveys (1989–2001) show large spatial and temporal variance in coastal recession rates, weakly correlated with the storm record, in part because of wave suppression or coastal protection by sea ice. Large storms cause rapid erosion from which recovery depends in part on local sand supply, but barrier volume may be conserved by washover deposition. Barrier shores with dunes show high longshore and interdecadal variance, with extensive multidecadal healing of former inlet and overwash gaps. This reflects recovery from an episode of widespread overwash prior to 1935, possibly initiated by intense storms or groups of storms in the latter half of the 19th century. With evidence from the storms of 2000–2001, this points to the importance of storm clustering on scales of weeks to years in determining erosion vulnerability, as well as the need for a long-term, large-scale perspective in assessing coastal stability. The expected acceleration in relative sea-level rise, together with projections of increasing storm intensity and greatly diminished winter ice cover in the southern GSL, implies a significant increase in coastal erosion hazards in future.  相似文献   

人工神经网络方法反演东中国海悬移质浓度     

李伟 《海洋湖沼通报》2007,(4):55-58

海中悬移质是决定海洋光学性质、海洋水质,河口海岸带演变动力过程的重要环境参数。本文利用模拟遥感反射比数据集建立人工神经网络反演悬移质浓度,并利用东中国海现场同步数据对该算法进行验证。  相似文献   

盐田水体遥感分类方法研究   总被引：3，自引：1，他引：3  

王晶晶  张鹰  陶菲 《海洋技术学报》2005,24(1):67-71

以连云港台北盐场为研究区，介绍了监督分类法和神经网络分类法及其在盐田水体遥感分类中的具体应用。研究结果表明，用神经网络分类法进行遥感影像自动分类，其分类精度高，显示了其在遥感领域较为广阔的应用前景。  相似文献